Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 20 October 2026

Al Diriyah
1 - 0Full time
Al Riyadh
Al DiriyahDrawAl Riyadh
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Al Diriyah to win (48%)
Our predictionAl Diriyah to winLean
48%Probability
2.09Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.21-0.68Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Diriyah48%2.09
  • Draw30%3.30
  • Al Riyadh22%4.55

Double chance

  • Al Diriyah or draw78%1.28
  • Al Diriyah or Al Riyadh70%1.43
  • Draw or Al Riyadh52%1.91

Goals

  • Over 2.530%3.39
  • Under 2.570%1.42

Both teams to score

  • Yes35%2.89
  • No65%1.53

Match preview

Al Diriyah have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 30% and a win for Al Riyadh at 22%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Diriyah 1.21, Al Riyadh 0.68. The single most likely score is 1-0 (18%), and the chance of three or more goals is 30%.

Al Diriyah have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWL).

Al Riyadh have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLW).

Most likely scores

  • 1-018%
  • 0-015%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-011%
  • 0-111%

Al Diriyah form

LWDLD
  • Dvs Al Taawoun1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Al Nassr0-32026-10-09
  • Dvs Abha0-02026-09-13
  • Wat Al Fateh2-12026-09-09
  • Lvs Al Qadsiah0-22026-09-03

Al Riyadh form

WLDWD
  • Dat Al Fayha1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Al Kholood2-02026-09-13
  • Dat Al Khaleej0-02026-09-07
  • Lat Al Ahli0-52026-09-04
  • Wvs NEOM1-02026-08-28

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Al RiyadhAl TaawounSat 24 Oct ·
Al RiyadhMatch result
37%
2.72Fair odds
Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.