ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- ADO Den Haag32%3.13
- Draw25%3.95
- Sparta Rotterdam43%2.34
Double chance
- ADO Den Haag or draw57%1.75
- ADO Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam75%1.34
- Draw or Sparta Rotterdam68%1.47
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.74
- Under 2.542%2.36
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.67
- No40%2.50
Match in numbers
This season, ADO Den Haag at home and Sparta Rotterdam away
| ADO Den Haag (home) | Sparta Rotterdam (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.4 | 5.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.2 | 6.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
- ADO Den Haag: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Sparta Rotterdam: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for ADO Den Haag matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Sparta Rotterdam matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. ADO Den Haag 32%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 43%.
At home this season ADO Den Haag average 0.80 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 2.4. Away from home Sparta Rotterdam take 1.40 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, ADO Den Haag manage 4.4 per home game and Sparta Rotterdam 5.8 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: ADO Den Haag 1.47, Sparta Rotterdam 1.53. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.
In their last 3 league meetings Sparta Rotterdam won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-18%
- 1-08%
ADO Den Haag form
- Lat PEC Zwolle0-12026-11-01
- Lvs Heerenveen2-32026-10-24
- Wvs PSV2-12026-10-17
- Dat Telstar2-22026-10-11
- Dvs Cambuur1-12026-09-19
Sparta Rotterdam form
- Wat Groningen3-22026-11-01
- Lvs Ajax1-22026-10-25
- Wvs Willem II3-22026-10-17
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles3-32026-10-10
- Lvs Heerenveen0-42026-09-19
Head to head
- 2021-01-31ADO Den Haag 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 2020-11-22Sparta Rotterdam 6-0 ADO Den Haag
- 2020-02-11Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 ADO Den Haag
Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.