Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 01 November 2026

Académico de Viseu6th · 17 pts
2 - 1Full time
Rio Ave16th · 7 pts
Académico de ViseuDrawRio Ave
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Académico de Viseu to win (59%)
Our predictionAcadémico de Viseu to winLean
59%Probability
1.69Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.82-1.10Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Académico de Viseu59%1.69
  • Draw22%4.60
  • Rio Ave19%5.27

Double chance

  • Académico de Viseu or draw81%1.23
  • Académico de Viseu or Rio Ave78%1.28
  • Draw or Rio Ave41%2.45

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.79
  • Under 2.544%2.27

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.79
  • No44%2.26

Match in numbers

This season, Académico de Viseu at home and Rio Ave away

Académico de Viseu (home)Rio Ave (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.500.75
Goals scored per game1.000.50
Goals conceded per game1.501.50
Shots on target per game3.02.8
Shots on target conceded5.55.8
Clean sheets0%25%
Over 2.5 goals75%25%
Both teams scored50%0%
  • Académico de Viseu have won their last 5 league matches.
  • Académico de Viseu: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Rio Ave: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Académico de Viseu matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Rio Ave matches: 3 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Académico de Viseu have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Rio Ave at 19%.

At home this season Académico de Viseu average 1.50 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Rio Ave take 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Académico de Viseu manage 3.0 per home game and Rio Ave 2.8 per away game.

Form lines: Académico de Viseu have won their last 5 league matches.

Académico de Viseu are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Académico de Viseu 1.82, Rio Ave 1.10. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-16%

Académico de Viseu form

WWWWW
  • Wat Sporting CP2-12026-10-25
  • Wvs Estoril2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Estrela2-02026-09-20
  • Wvs Vitória Guimarães2-12026-09-12
  • Wat Gil Vicente1-02026-09-06

Rio Ave form

LDLWL
  • Lvs Famalicão0-42026-10-25
  • Wvs Nacional3-22026-10-11
  • Lat Alverca0-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Estrela3-32026-09-14
  • Lat Santa Clara0-42026-09-06

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-01 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.