Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Aberdeen35%2.83
- Draw29%3.40
- Hibernian35%2.84
Double chance
- Aberdeen or draw65%1.54
- Aberdeen or Hibernian71%1.42
- Draw or Hibernian65%1.55
Goals
- Over 2.542%2.38
- Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.10
- No52%1.91
Match in numbers
This season, Aberdeen at home and Hibernian away
| Aberdeen (home) | Hibernian (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.83 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 1.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 80% |
- Hibernian have gone 8 league matches without a win.
- Aberdeen: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Hibernian: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Aberdeen matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Hibernian matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Aberdeen 35%, draw 29%, Hibernian 35%.
At home this season Aberdeen average 1.17 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Hibernian take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Aberdeen manage 4.2 per home game and Hibernian 3.4 per away game.
Form lines: Hibernian have gone 8 league matches without a win.
Hibernian sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Aberdeen 1.18, Hibernian 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.
In their last 5 league meetings Aberdeen won 2, Hibernian won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Aberdeen form
- Lvs Falkirk0-12026-10-28
- Lat Dundee United2-32026-10-24
- Wvs St. Mirren3-12026-10-17
- Lvs St. Johnstone0-12026-10-11
- Dat Hibernian1-12026-09-19
Hibernian form
- Dat St. Mirren1-12026-10-28
- Lvs Celtic1-22026-10-25
- Lvs Falkirk1-22026-10-17
- Lat Dundee United0-12026-10-10
- Dvs Aberdeen1-12026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-09-19Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen
- 2026-04-11Aberdeen 2-0 Hibernian
- 2025-12-30Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
- 2025-10-26Aberdeen 1-2 Hibernian
- 2025-04-26Aberdeen 1-0 Hibernian
Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.