Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City prediction

England · Championship · 31 October 2026

Wolverhampton Wanderers8th · 18 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Cardiff City19th · 11 pts
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawCardiff City
Our predictionWolverhampton Wanderers to winLean
54%Probability
1.85Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.37-1.45Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers54%1.85
  • Draw21%4.68
  • Cardiff City24%4.09

Double chance

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw76%1.32
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or Cardiff City79%1.27
  • Draw or Cardiff City46%2.18

Goals

  • Over 2.573%1.36
  • Under 2.527%3.75

Both teams to score

  • Yes69%1.44
  • No31%3.25

Match in numbers

This season, Wolverhampton Wanderers at home and Cardiff City away

Wolverhampton Wanderers (home)Cardiff City (away)
Matches56
Points per game1.600.33
Goals scored per game1.801.00
Goals conceded per game1.401.83
Shots on target per game-5.2
Shots on target conceded-7.4
Clean sheets20%0%
Over 2.5 goals60%67%
Both teams scored80%67%
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Cardiff City: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 24th in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Wolverhampton Wanderers (54%), though Cardiff City win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 21%.

At home this season Wolverhampton Wanderers average 1.60 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Cardiff City take 0.33 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8.

Cardiff City sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 13th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 2.37 goals from Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.45 from Cardiff City; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 73% and both teams to score 69%.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-17%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-26%
  • 2-06%

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

WLLWD
  • Dvs Portsmouth1-12026-10-20
  • Wat Burnley2-12026-10-16
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers1-32026-10-13
  • Lat Middlesbrough0-12026-10-10
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion1-02026-09-20

Cardiff City form

LWLWD
  • Dat Middlesbrough2-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Watford5-12026-10-13
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers1-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic3-12026-09-19
  • Lat Bolton Wanderers0-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Championship predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.