Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo prediction
Vasco da Gama12th · 15 pts
Flamengo1st · 33 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vasco da Gama24%4.18
- Draw25%4.05
- Flamengo51%1.94
Double chance
- Vasco da Gama or draw49%2.06
- Vasco da Gama or Flamengo75%1.33
- Draw or Flamengo76%1.31
Goals
- Over 2.547%2.11
- Under 2.553%1.90
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.95
- No49%2.06
Match preview
Flamengo have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Vasco da Gama at 24%.
Expected goals from the model: Vasco da Gama 1.13, Flamengo 1.44. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.
Vasco da Gama have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).
Flamengo have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).
In the table Vasco da Gama are 12th with 15 points and Flamengo 1st with 33.
In their last 5 league meetings Vasco da Gama won 0, Flamengo won 1 and 4 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-29%
- 1-09%
- 0-28%
Vasco da Gama form
- Lat São Paulo0-12026-10-18
- Dvs Remo0-02026-10-10
- Wat Botafogo2-12026-10-07
- Wvs Coritiba5-02026-09-19
- Wat Grêmio2-12026-09-12
Flamengo form
- Wat Bahia3-02026-10-18
- Wvs Fluminense1-02026-10-11
- Dat Santos2-22026-10-08
- Wvs Red Bull Bragantino2-12026-09-20
- Wvs Corinthians2-12026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-05-03Flamengo 2-2 Vasco da Gama
- 2025-09-21Flamengo 1-1 Vasco da Gama
- 2025-04-19Vasco da Gama 0-0 Flamengo
- 2024-09-15Flamengo 1-1 Vasco da Gama
- 2024-06-02Vasco da Gama 1-6 Flamengo
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.