Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction
Swansea City2nd · 23 pts
Blackburn Rovers10th · 15 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Swansea City52%1.93
- Draw26%3.83
- Blackburn Rovers22%4.52
Double chance
- Swansea City or draw78%1.28
- Swansea City or Blackburn Rovers74%1.35
- Draw or Blackburn Rovers48%2.07
Goals
- Over 2.539%2.54
- Under 2.561%1.65
Both teams to score
- Yes44%2.25
- No56%1.80
Match in numbers
This season, Swansea City at home and Blackburn Rovers away
| Swansea City (home) | Blackburn Rovers (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
- Blackburn Rovers have scored in 7 straight league matches.
- Swansea City: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Blackburn Rovers: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 8th in the league.
Match preview
Swansea City have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers at 22%.
At home this season Swansea City average 1.83 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Blackburn Rovers take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Swansea City manage 4.3 per home game and Blackburn Rovers 3.0 per away game.
Form lines: Blackburn Rovers have scored in 7 straight league matches.
Swansea City are 2nd in the table while the model ranks them only 10th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Blackburn Rovers are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Swansea City 1.32, Blackburn Rovers 0.94. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.
In their last 5 league meetings Swansea City won 4 and Blackburn Rovers won 1.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-113%
- 0-010%
- 0-110%
- 2-09%
Swansea City form
- Lvs West Ham United0-12026-10-17
- Wat Millwall1-02026-10-13
- Wvs Norwich City2-12026-10-10
- Wat Lincoln City2-12026-09-19
- Wvs Burnley3-12026-09-12
Blackburn Rovers form
- Lat West Bromwich Albion2-32026-10-17
- Wat Bristol City1-02026-10-13
- Wvs Cardiff City2-12026-10-10
- Dat Portsmouth2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Millwall3-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-01-20Swansea City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers
- 2025-09-30Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Swansea City
- 2025-02-22Swansea City 3-0 Blackburn Rovers
- 2024-10-19Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Swansea City
- 2024-03-02Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.