Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

England · Championship · 31 October 2026

Swansea City2nd · 23 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Blackburn Rovers10th · 15 pts
Swansea CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
Our predictionSwansea City to winLean
52%Probability
1.93Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-0.94Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Swansea City52%1.93
  • Draw26%3.83
  • Blackburn Rovers22%4.52

Double chance

  • Swansea City or draw78%1.28
  • Swansea City or Blackburn Rovers74%1.35
  • Draw or Blackburn Rovers48%2.07

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.54
  • Under 2.561%1.65

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.25
  • No56%1.80

Match in numbers

This season, Swansea City at home and Blackburn Rovers away

Swansea City (home)Blackburn Rovers (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.831.00
Goals scored per game1.171.33
Goals conceded per game0.501.50
Shots on target per game4.33.0
Shots on target conceded3.54.4
Clean sheets50%33%
Over 2.5 goals33%67%
Both teams scored33%67%
  • Blackburn Rovers have scored in 7 straight league matches.
  • Swansea City: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Blackburn Rovers: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 8th in the league.

Match preview

Swansea City have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers at 22%.

At home this season Swansea City average 1.83 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Blackburn Rovers take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Swansea City manage 4.3 per home game and Blackburn Rovers 3.0 per away game.

Form lines: Blackburn Rovers have scored in 7 straight league matches.

Swansea City are 2nd in the table while the model ranks them only 10th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Blackburn Rovers are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Swansea City 1.32, Blackburn Rovers 0.94. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

In their last 5 league meetings Swansea City won 4 and Blackburn Rovers won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-010%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-09%

Swansea City form

WWWWL
  • Lvs West Ham United0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Millwall1-02026-10-13
  • Wvs Norwich City2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Lincoln City2-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Burnley3-12026-09-12

Blackburn Rovers form

WDWWL
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion2-32026-10-17
  • Wat Bristol City1-02026-10-13
  • Wvs Cardiff City2-12026-10-10
  • Dat Portsmouth2-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Millwall3-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-01-20Swansea City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers
  • 2025-09-30Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Swansea City
  • 2025-02-22Swansea City 3-0 Blackburn Rovers
  • 2024-10-19Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Swansea City
  • 2024-03-02Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

More Championship predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.