Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction
Sunderland20th · 4 pts
Leeds United7th · 10 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sunderland36%2.81
- Draw29%3.43
- Leeds United35%2.83
Double chance
- Sunderland or draw65%1.55
- Sunderland or Leeds United71%1.41
- Draw or Leeds United64%1.55
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.32
- Under 2.557%1.76
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.06
- No51%1.95
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Sunderland 36%, draw 29%, Leeds United 35%.
Expected goals from the model: Sunderland 1.24, Leeds United 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Sunderland have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLD).
Leeds United have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWD).
In the table Sunderland are 20th with 4 points and Leeds United 7th with 10.
In their last 5 league meetings Sunderland won 1, Leeds United won 1 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Sunderland form
- Lat AFC Bournemouth0-22026-10-18
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-22026-10-10
- Lat Manchester City3-52026-09-20
- Lvs Arsenal0-22026-09-12
- Dat Brentford1-12026-09-05
Leeds United form
- Dvs Manchester United1-12026-10-18
- Lat Arsenal1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Crystal Palace0-02026-09-20
- Wvs Newcastle United4-12026-09-14
- Dat Brighton & Hove Albion1-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-03Leeds United 0-1 Sunderland
- 2025-12-28Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United
- 2025-02-17Leeds United 2-1 Sunderland
- 2024-10-04Sunderland 2-2 Leeds United
- 2024-04-09Leeds United 0-0 Sunderland
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.