Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction
Sparta Rotterdam13th · 9 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sparta Rotterdam20%5.01
- Draw21%4.74
- Ajax59%1.70
Double chance
- Sparta Rotterdam or draw41%2.43
- Sparta Rotterdam or Ajax79%1.27
- Draw or Ajax80%1.25
Goals
- Over 2.564%1.57
- Under 2.536%2.75
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.63
- No39%2.59
Match preview
Ajax have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam at 20%.
Expected goals from the model: Sparta Rotterdam 1.23, Ajax 2.05. The single most likely score is 1-2 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.
Sparta Rotterdam have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLLD).
Ajax have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDDWW).
In the table Sparta Rotterdam are 13th with 9 points and Ajax 4th with 18.
In their last 5 league meetings Sparta Rotterdam won 0, Ajax won 2 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-210%
- 1-19%
- 0-28%
- 0-18%
- 1-37%
Sparta Rotterdam form
- Wvs Willem II3-22026-10-17
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles3-32026-10-10
- Lvs Heerenveen0-42026-09-19
- Lat PSV1-42026-09-13
- Dvs PEC Zwolle2-22026-09-04
Ajax form
- Wat Groningen5-22026-10-18
- Dvs NEC1-12026-10-10
- Dvs Excelsior2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Willem II5-12026-09-15
- Wat Fortuna Sittard5-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-03-14Ajax 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam
- 2025-10-04Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Ajax
- 2025-04-27Ajax 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 2024-12-22Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Ajax
- 2024-03-17Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Ajax
More Eredivisie predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.