Santos vs Palmeiras prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 28 October 2026

Santos5th · 24 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Palmeiras4th · 25 pts
SantosDrawPalmeiras
Our predictionPalmeiras to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.33Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.16-1.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Santos29%3.41
  • Draw28%3.60
  • Palmeiras43%2.33

Double chance

  • Santos or draw57%1.75
  • Santos or Palmeiras72%1.39
  • Draw or Palmeiras71%1.41

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.19
  • Under 2.554%1.84

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.98
  • No50%2.02

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Santos 29%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 43%.

Expected goals from the model: Santos 1.16, Palmeiras 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.

Santos have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWW).

Palmeiras have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).

In the table Santos are 5th with 24 points and Palmeiras 4th with 25.

In their last 5 league meetings Santos won 2, Palmeiras won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-08%

Santos form

WWDLW
  • Wat Fluminense2-12026-10-18
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro1-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Flamengo2-22026-10-08
  • Wat São Paulo2-12026-10-02
  • Wat Remo2-12026-09-19

Palmeiras form

WDWWW
  • Wat Athletico Paranaense2-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Corinthians4-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Bahia1-02026-10-09
  • Dat Grêmio0-02026-09-20
  • Wvs São Paulo2-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Palmeiras 1-1 Santos
  • 2025-11-16Santos 1-0 Palmeiras
  • 2025-11-07Palmeiras 2-0 Santos
  • 2023-10-08Palmeiras 1-2 Santos
  • 2023-05-21Santos 0-0 Palmeiras

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.