Santos vs Palmeiras prediction
Santos5th · 24 ptsWed 28 Oct
Palmeiras4th · 25 ptsSantosDrawPalmeiras
Our predictionPalmeiras to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.33Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.16-1.34Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Santos29%3.41
- Draw28%3.60
- Palmeiras43%2.33
Double chance
- Santos or draw57%1.75
- Santos or Palmeiras72%1.39
- Draw or Palmeiras71%1.41
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.19
- Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to score
- Yes50%1.98
- No50%2.02
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Santos 29%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 43%.
Expected goals from the model: Santos 1.16, Palmeiras 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.
Santos have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWW).
Palmeiras have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).
In the table Santos are 5th with 24 points and Palmeiras 4th with 25.
In their last 5 league meetings Santos won 2, Palmeiras won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-010%
- 1-29%
- 0-08%
Santos form
WWDLW
- Wat Fluminense2-12026-10-18
- Lat Atlético Mineiro1-22026-10-11
- Dvs Flamengo2-22026-10-08
- Wat São Paulo2-12026-10-02
- Wat Remo2-12026-09-19
Palmeiras form
WDWWW
- Wat Athletico Paranaense2-02026-10-17
- Wvs Corinthians4-12026-10-11
- Wvs Bahia1-02026-10-09
- Dat Grêmio0-02026-09-20
- Wvs São Paulo2-02026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Palmeiras 1-1 Santos
- 2025-11-16Santos 1-0 Palmeiras
- 2025-11-07Palmeiras 2-0 Santos
- 2023-10-08Palmeiras 1-2 Santos
- 2023-05-21Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
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Athletico ParanaenseMatch result
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InternacionalMatch result
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MirassolMatch result
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Vasco da GamaMatch result
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PalmeirasMatch result
68%
1.47Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.