Santos vs Bahia prediction
Santos5th · 24 ptsSun 25 Oct
Bahia7th · 23 ptsSantosDrawBahia
Our predictionSantos to winLean
48%Probability
2.06Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.57-1.10Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Santos48%2.06
- Draw27%3.77
- Bahia25%3.99
Double chance
- Santos or draw75%1.33
- Santos or Bahia73%1.36
- Draw or Bahia52%1.94
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.00
- Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.90
- No47%2.11
Match preview
Santos have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Bahia at 25%.
Expected goals from the model: Santos 1.57, Bahia 1.10. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Santos have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWW).
Bahia have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLW).
In the table Santos are 5th with 24 points and Bahia 7th with 23.
In their last 5 league meetings Santos won 2, Bahia won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-18%
Santos form
WWDLW
- Wat Fluminense2-12026-10-18
- Lat Atlético Mineiro1-22026-10-11
- Dvs Flamengo2-22026-10-08
- Wat São Paulo2-12026-10-02
- Wat Remo2-12026-09-19
Bahia form
WLLWL
- Lvs Flamengo0-32026-10-18
- Wvs Mirassol1-02026-10-11
- Lat Palmeiras0-12026-10-09
- Lat Athletico Paranaense1-22026-09-20
- Wvs Remo2-12026-09-14
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Bahia 2-2 Santos
- 2025-08-24Bahia 2-0 Santos
- 2025-04-07Santos 2-2 Bahia
- 2023-09-19Bahia 1-2 Santos
- 2023-05-10Santos 3-0 Bahia
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›CruzeiroMatch result
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Athletico ParanaenseMatch result
40%
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InternacionalMatch result
41%
2.46Fair odds
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MirassolMatch result
48%
2.08Fair odds
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Vasco da GamaMatch result
50%
1.98Fair odds
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PalmeirasMatch result
68%
1.47Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.