Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 28 October 2026

Red Bull Bragantino15th · 12 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Chapecoense19th · 9 pts
Red Bull BragantinoDrawChapecoense
Our predictionRed Bull Bragantino to winStrong pick
74%Probability
1.35Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.25-0.87Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Red Bull Bragantino74%1.35
  • Draw16%6.26
  • Chapecoense10%10.10

Double chance

  • Red Bull Bragantino or draw90%1.11
  • Red Bull Bragantino or Chapecoense84%1.19
  • Draw or Chapecoense26%3.86

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.93
  • No48%2.07

Match preview

The model makes Red Bull Bragantino clear favourites, with a 74% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 16% and a win for Chapecoense at 10%.

Expected goals from the model: Red Bull Bragantino 2.25, Chapecoense 0.87. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Red Bull Bragantino have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLL).

Chapecoense have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).

In the table Red Bull Bragantino are 15th with 12 points and Chapecoense 19th with 9.

In their last 3 league meetings Red Bull Bragantino won 2, Chapecoense won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-011%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-18%
  • 3-08%

Red Bull Bragantino form

LLDWD
  • Dat Remo1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Cruzeiro4-22026-10-13
  • Dvs Mirassol1-12026-10-07
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-03
  • Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-20

Chapecoense form

LDLLL
  • Lat Botafogo0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Athletico Paranaense1-42026-10-12
  • Lat Vitória0-42026-10-07
  • Dat Atlético Mineiro1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Internacional1-22026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Chapecoense 1-2 Red Bull Bragantino
  • 2021-09-11Red Bull Bragantino 1-2 Chapecoense
  • 2021-05-30Chapecoense 0-3 Red Bull Bragantino

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.