Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Celta Vigo at 24%.

At home this season Rayo Vallecano average 2.33 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Celta Vigo take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.2 and conceding 0.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Rayo Vallecano manage 5.0 per home game and Celta Vigo 2.0 per away game.

Form lines: Rayo Vallecano have scored in 15 straight league matches; Celta Vigo are unbeaten in 6 league matches.

Rayo Vallecano sit 14th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Rayo Vallecano 1.55, Celta Vigo 1.06. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

In their last 5 league meetings Rayo Vallecano won 2, Celta Vigo won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-112%
• 1-012%
• 2-19%
• 2-09%
• 0-18%

Rayo Vallecano form

• Dat Getafe1-12026-10-19
• Dat Osasuna1-12026-09-19
• Wvs Espanyol2-12026-09-15
• Lat Real Madrid1-42026-09-12
• Wvs Racing de Santander3-22026-09-05

Celta Vigo form

• Wvs Alavés2-12026-10-18
• Dat Elche0-02026-10-11
• Wvs Racing de Santander5-02026-09-19
• Dvs Málaga1-12026-09-13
• Dat Getafe1-12026-09-07