Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City prediction

England · Championship · 24 October 2026

Queens Park Rangers9th · 17 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Swansea City1st · 23 pts
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
Our predictionQueens Park Rangers to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.74Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.22Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Queens Park Rangers36%2.74
  • Draw28%3.53
  • Swansea City35%2.84

Double chance

  • Queens Park Rangers or draw65%1.54
  • Queens Park Rangers or Swansea City72%1.40
  • Draw or Swansea City64%1.57

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.13
  • Under 2.553%1.89

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.93
  • No48%2.07

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Queens Park Rangers 36%, draw 28%, Swansea City 35%.

Expected goals from the model: Queens Park Rangers 1.34, Swansea City 1.22. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Queens Park Rangers have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDDD).

Swansea City have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWWWW).

In the table Queens Park Rangers are 9th with 17 points and Swansea City 1st with 23.

In their last 5 league meetings Queens Park Rangers won 2, Swansea City won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-28%

Queens Park Rangers form

DDDWL
  • Lat Birmingham City0-32026-10-17
  • Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-14
  • Dat West Ham United1-12026-10-09
  • Dvs Preston North End2-22026-09-19
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion1-12026-09-12

Swansea City form

WWWWL
  • Lvs West Ham United0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Millwall1-02026-10-13
  • Wvs Norwich City2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Lincoln City2-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Burnley3-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-04-21Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Swansea City
  • 2025-10-22Swansea City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers
  • 2025-04-21Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Swansea City
  • 2024-12-26Swansea City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers
  • 2024-04-01Swansea City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.