Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City prediction

England · Championship · 31 October 2026

Lincoln City18th · 12 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Birmingham City5th · 20 pts
Lincoln CityDrawBirmingham City
Our predictionBirmingham City to winLean
47%Probability
2.14Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.87-1.60Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Lincoln City25%3.97
  • Draw28%3.57
  • Birmingham City47%2.14

Double chance

  • Lincoln City or draw53%1.88
  • Lincoln City or Birmingham City72%1.39
  • Draw or Birmingham City75%1.34

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.23
  • Under 2.555%1.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.17
  • No54%1.86

Match in numbers

This season, Lincoln City at home and Birmingham City away

Lincoln City (home)Birmingham City (away)
Matches55
Points per game0.402.00
Goals scored per game0.601.20
Goals conceded per game2.400.80
Shots on target per game2.85.0
Shots on target conceded5.83.4
Clean sheets20%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored60%60%
  • Birmingham City have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Lincoln City: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 23rd in the league.
  • Birmingham City: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 3rd in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Birmingham City (47%), though Lincoln City win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.

At home this season Lincoln City average 0.40 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 2.4. Away from home Birmingham City take 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.8 per game for Lincoln City at home and 5.0 for Birmingham City on the road.

Current runs: Birmingham City have won their last 3 league matches.

Lincoln City are 18th in the table while the model ranks them only 24th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 0.87 goals from Lincoln City and 1.60 from Birmingham City; 0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 46%.

Birmingham City won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 0-114%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-211%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-08%

Lincoln City form

WLLLD
  • Dat Millwall2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs West Ham United0-62026-10-14
  • Lat Sheffield United0-32026-10-10
  • Lvs Swansea City1-22026-09-19
  • Wat Bristol City1-02026-09-15

Birmingham City form

WDWWW
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers3-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Preston North End4-02026-10-13
  • Wat West Bromwich Albion1-02026-10-10
  • Dvs Middlesbrough2-22026-09-19
  • Wat Derby County2-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2025-03-08Birmingham City 1-0 Lincoln City
  • 2024-10-19Lincoln City 1-3 Birmingham City

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.