Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Levante11th · 10 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Levante27%3.71
- Draw25%4.00
- Atletico Madrid48%2.08
Double chance
- Levante or draw52%1.93
- Levante or Atletico Madrid75%1.33
- Draw or Atletico Madrid73%1.37
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.74
- Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.44
Match in numbers
This season, Levante at home and Atletico Madrid away
| Levante (home) | Atletico Madrid (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 8.0 | 5.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% |
- Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 league matches.
- Levante: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Atletico Madrid: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.
Match preview
Atletico Madrid have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Levante at 27%.
At home this season Levante average 1.75 points and 3.2 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home Atletico Madrid take 2.40 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Levante manage 8.0 per home game and Atletico Madrid 5.6 per away game.
Form lines: Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Levante 1.29, Atletico Madrid 1.70. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
In their last 5 league meetings Levante won 2, Atletico Madrid won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 0-27%
- 2-17%
Levante form
- Wvs Athletic Club3-12026-10-21
- Dat Deportivo de La Coruña1-12026-10-16
- Dvs Sevilla3-32026-10-12
- Lat Villarreal1-32026-09-20
- Lvs Barcelona2-42026-09-13
Atletico Madrid form
- Wat Espanyol1-02026-10-17
- Wat Alavés2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Real Madrid2-12026-09-20
- Wvs Osasuna4-02026-09-16
- Wat Real Sociedad3-02026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-01-31Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid
- 2025-11-08Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante
- 2022-02-16Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante
- 2021-10-28Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid
- 2021-02-20Atletico Madrid 0-2 Levante
More La Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.