Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Spain · La Liga · 31 October 2026

Levante11th · 10 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Atletico Madrid2nd · 22 pts
LevanteDrawAtletico Madrid
Our predictionAtletico Madrid to winLean
48%Probability
2.08Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.29-1.70Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Levante27%3.71
  • Draw25%4.00
  • Atletico Madrid48%2.08

Double chance

  • Levante or draw52%1.93
  • Levante or Atletico Madrid75%1.33
  • Draw or Atletico Madrid73%1.37

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.74
  • Under 2.543%2.35

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.69
  • No41%2.44

Match in numbers

This season, Levante at home and Atletico Madrid away

Levante (home)Atletico Madrid (away)
Matches45
Points per game1.752.40
Goals scored per game3.251.80
Goals conceded per game2.501.00
Shots on target per game8.05.6
Shots on target conceded5.23.4
Clean sheets0%40%
Over 2.5 goals100%80%
Both teams scored100%40%
  • Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 league matches.
  • Levante: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Atletico Madrid: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.

Match preview

Atletico Madrid have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Levante at 27%.

At home this season Levante average 1.75 points and 3.2 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home Atletico Madrid take 2.40 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Levante manage 8.0 per home game and Atletico Madrid 5.6 per away game.

Form lines: Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Levante 1.29, Atletico Madrid 1.70. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

In their last 5 league meetings Levante won 2, Atletico Madrid won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-27%
  • 2-17%

Levante form

LLDDW
  • Wvs Athletic Club3-12026-10-21
  • Dat Deportivo de La Coruña1-12026-10-16
  • Dvs Sevilla3-32026-10-12
  • Lat Villarreal1-32026-09-20
  • Lvs Barcelona2-42026-09-13

Atletico Madrid form

WWWWW
  • Wat Espanyol1-02026-10-17
  • Wat Alavés2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Real Madrid2-12026-09-20
  • Wvs Osasuna4-02026-09-16
  • Wat Real Sociedad3-02026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-01-31Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-11-08Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante
  • 2022-02-16Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante
  • 2021-10-28Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2021-02-20Atletico Madrid 0-2 Levante

More La Liga predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.