Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense prediction
Grêmio17th · 10 pts
Athletico Paranaense6th · 23 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Grêmio31%3.25
- Draw27%3.67
- Athletico Paranaense42%2.38
Double chance
- Grêmio or draw58%1.72
- Grêmio or Athletico Paranaense73%1.37
- Draw or Athletico Paranaense69%1.44
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.01
- Under 2.550%1.99
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.86
- No46%2.17
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Grêmio 31%, draw 27%, Athletico Paranaense 42%.
Expected goals from the model: Grêmio 1.26, Athletico Paranaense 1.41. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Grêmio have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDDDL).
Athletico Paranaense have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWD).
In the table Grêmio are 17th with 10 points and Athletico Paranaense 6th with 23.
In their last 5 league meetings Grêmio won 3, Athletico Paranaense won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
Grêmio form
- Lvs Cruzeiro2-42026-10-18
- Dvs Internacional1-12026-10-11
- Dat Remo1-12026-10-07
- Dvs Palmeiras0-02026-09-20
- Lat Botafogo2-32026-09-16
Athletico Paranaense form
- Lvs Palmeiras0-22026-10-17
- Wat Chapecoense4-12026-10-12
- Dvs Atlético Mineiro2-22026-10-08
- Wvs Bahia2-12026-09-20
- Dat Coritiba3-32026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Athletico Paranaense 0-0 Grêmio
- 2024-08-04Athletico Paranaense 0-2 Grêmio
- 2024-04-17Grêmio 2-0 Athletico Paranaense
- 2023-10-18Grêmio 1-2 Athletico Paranaense
- 2023-05-27Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Grêmio
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.