Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro prediction
Flamengo1st · 33 pts
Atlético Mineiro3rd · 26 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Flamengo66%1.51
- Draw21%4.81
- Atlético Mineiro13%7.63
Double chance
- Flamengo or draw87%1.15
- Flamengo or Atlético Mineiro79%1.26
- Draw or Atlético Mineiro34%2.95
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.03
- Under 2.551%1.97
Both teams to score
- Yes47%2.15
- No53%1.87
Match preview
The model makes Flamengo clear favourites, with a 66% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Atlético Mineiro at 13%.
Expected goals from the model: Flamengo 1.83, Atlético Mineiro 0.81. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
Flamengo have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).
Atlético Mineiro have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWD).
In the table Flamengo are 1st with 33 points and Atlético Mineiro 3rd with 26.
In their last 5 league meetings Flamengo won 3, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 2-012%
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 3-07%
Flamengo form
- Wat Bahia3-02026-10-18
- Wvs Fluminense1-02026-10-11
- Dat Santos2-22026-10-08
- Wvs Red Bull Bragantino2-12026-09-20
- Wvs Corinthians2-12026-09-13
Atlético Mineiro form
- Wvs Coritiba1-02026-10-17
- Wvs Santos2-12026-10-11
- Dat Athletico Paranaense2-22026-10-08
- Wvs Red Bull Bragantino1-02026-10-03
- Dvs Chapecoense1-12026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Atlético Mineiro 0-4 Flamengo
- 2025-11-26Atlético Mineiro 1-1 Flamengo
- 2025-07-28Flamengo 1-0 Atlético Mineiro
- 2024-11-13Flamengo 0-0 Atlético Mineiro
- 2024-07-04Atlético Mineiro 2-4 Flamengo
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.