Elche vs Valencia prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Elche47%2.14
- Draw29%3.48
- Valencia25%4.07
Double chance
- Elche or draw75%1.33
- Elche or Valencia71%1.40
- Draw or Valencia53%1.87
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.42
- Under 2.559%1.70
Both teams to score
- Yes45%2.21
- No55%1.83
Match in numbers
This season, Elche at home and Valencia away
| Elche (home) | Valencia (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Elche: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Valencia: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 9th in the league.
Match preview
Elche have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 29% and a win for Valencia at 25%.
At home this season Elche average 0.25 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.8. Away from home Valencia take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Elche manage 4.2 per home game and Valencia 2.2 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Elche 1.42, Valencia 0.92. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.
In their last 5 league meetings Elche won 1, Valencia won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-112%
- 2-010%
- 0-09%
- 0-19%
Elche form
- Dat Villarreal0-02026-10-17
- Dvs Celta Vigo0-02026-10-11
- Wat Espanyol3-12026-09-18
- Lvs Real Madrid2-32026-09-15
- Dat Athletic Club1-12026-09-12
Valencia form
- Dvs Athletic Club0-02026-10-17
- Dat Racing de Santander2-22026-10-11
- Lvs Real Sociedad2-32026-09-20
- Wat Alavés1-02026-09-15
- Lat Sevilla0-12026-09-11
Head to head
- 2026-04-11Elche 1-0 Valencia
- 2026-01-10Valencia 1-1 Elche
- 2023-04-23Elche 0-2 Valencia
- 2022-10-15Valencia 2-2 Elche
- 2022-03-19Elche 0-1 Valencia
More La Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.