Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Elche vs Valencia prediction

Spain · La Liga · 01 November 2026

Elche18th · 7 pts
Sun 01 Nov
Valencia19th · 6 pts
ElcheDrawValencia
Our predictionElche to winLean
47%Probability
2.14Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.42-0.92Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Elche47%2.14
  • Draw29%3.48
  • Valencia25%4.07

Double chance

  • Elche or draw75%1.33
  • Elche or Valencia71%1.40
  • Draw or Valencia53%1.87

Goals

  • Over 2.541%2.42
  • Under 2.559%1.70

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.21
  • No55%1.83

Match in numbers

This season, Elche at home and Valencia away

Elche (home)Valencia (away)
Matches44
Points per game0.251.00
Goals scored per game1.001.00
Goals conceded per game2.751.50
Shots on target per game4.22.2
Shots on target conceded4.25.5
Clean sheets25%25%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%
Both teams scored50%50%
  • Elche: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Valencia: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 9th in the league.

Match preview

Elche have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 29% and a win for Valencia at 25%.

At home this season Elche average 0.25 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.8. Away from home Valencia take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Elche manage 4.2 per home game and Valencia 2.2 per away game.

Expected goals from the model: Elche 1.42, Valencia 0.92. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.

In their last 5 league meetings Elche won 1, Valencia won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-09%
  • 0-19%

Elche form

DLWDD
  • Dat Villarreal0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Celta Vigo0-02026-10-11
  • Wat Espanyol3-12026-09-18
  • Lvs Real Madrid2-32026-09-15
  • Dat Athletic Club1-12026-09-12

Valencia form

LWLDD
  • Dvs Athletic Club0-02026-10-17
  • Dat Racing de Santander2-22026-10-11
  • Lvs Real Sociedad2-32026-09-20
  • Wat Alavés1-02026-09-15
  • Lat Sevilla0-12026-09-11

Head to head

  • 2026-04-11Elche 1-0 Valencia
  • 2026-01-10Valencia 1-1 Elche
  • 2023-04-23Elche 0-2 Valencia
  • 2022-10-15Valencia 2-2 Elche
  • 2022-03-19Elche 0-1 Valencia

More La Liga predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.