Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 26 October 2026

Coritiba14th · 13 pts
Mon 26 Oct
Grêmio17th · 10 pts
CoritibaDrawGrêmio
Our predictionCoritiba to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.41Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.30-1.19Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Coritiba41%2.41
  • Draw28%3.57
  • Grêmio31%3.27

Double chance

  • Coritiba or draw69%1.44
  • Coritiba or Grêmio72%1.39
  • Draw or Grêmio59%1.71

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.21
  • Under 2.555%1.83

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.99
  • No50%2.01

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Coritiba 41%, draw 28%, Grêmio 31%.

Expected goals from the model: Coritiba 1.30, Grêmio 1.19. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 45%.

Coritiba have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLD).

Grêmio have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDDDL).

In the table Coritiba are 14th with 13 points and Grêmio 17th with 10.

In their last 5 league meetings Coritiba won 0, Grêmio won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-18%
  • 0-08%

Coritiba form

DLLDL
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Botafogo1-12026-10-12
  • Lat Fluminense0-42026-10-09
  • Lat Vasco da Gama0-52026-09-19
  • Dvs Athletico Paranaense3-32026-09-12

Grêmio form

LDDDL
  • Lvs Cruzeiro2-42026-10-18
  • Dvs Internacional1-12026-10-11
  • Dat Remo1-12026-10-07
  • Dvs Palmeiras0-02026-09-20
  • Lat Botafogo2-32026-09-16

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26Grêmio 1-0 Coritiba
  • 2023-11-01Coritiba 1-2 Grêmio
  • 2023-06-25Grêmio 5-1 Coritiba
  • 2021-01-31Coritiba 1-1 Grêmio
  • 2020-10-07Grêmio 2-1 Coritiba

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.