Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction
Coritiba14th · 13 ptsMon 26 Oct
Grêmio17th · 10 ptsCoritibaDrawGrêmio
Our predictionCoritiba to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.41Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.30-1.19Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Coritiba41%2.41
- Draw28%3.57
- Grêmio31%3.27
Double chance
- Coritiba or draw69%1.44
- Coritiba or Grêmio72%1.39
- Draw or Grêmio59%1.71
Goals
- Over 2.545%2.21
- Under 2.555%1.83
Both teams to score
- Yes50%1.99
- No50%2.01
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Coritiba 41%, draw 28%, Grêmio 31%.
Expected goals from the model: Coritiba 1.30, Grêmio 1.19. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 45%.
Coritiba have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLD).
Grêmio have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDDDL).
In the table Coritiba are 14th with 13 points and Grêmio 17th with 10.
In their last 5 league meetings Coritiba won 0, Grêmio won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011%
- 0-110%
- 2-18%
- 0-08%
Coritiba form
DLLDL
- Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-17
- Dvs Botafogo1-12026-10-12
- Lat Fluminense0-42026-10-09
- Lat Vasco da Gama0-52026-09-19
- Dvs Athletico Paranaense3-32026-09-12
Grêmio form
LDDDL
- Lvs Cruzeiro2-42026-10-18
- Dvs Internacional1-12026-10-11
- Dat Remo1-12026-10-07
- Dvs Palmeiras0-02026-09-20
- Lat Botafogo2-32026-09-16
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Grêmio 1-0 Coritiba
- 2023-11-01Coritiba 1-2 Grêmio
- 2023-06-25Grêmio 5-1 Coritiba
- 2021-01-31Coritiba 1-1 Grêmio
- 2020-10-07Grêmio 2-1 Coritiba
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›CruzeiroMatch result
68%
1.47Fair odds
Analysis
Athletico ParanaenseMatch result
40%
2.48Fair odds
Analysis
InternacionalMatch result
41%
2.46Fair odds
Analysis
MirassolMatch result
48%
2.08Fair odds
Analysis
Vasco da GamaMatch result
50%
1.98Fair odds
Analysis
PalmeirasMatch result
68%
1.47Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.