Corinthians vs Vitória prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 19 October 2026

Corinthians
1 - 1Full time
Vitória
CorinthiansDrawVitória
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Corinthians to win (48%)
Our predictionCorinthians to winLean
48%Probability
2.10Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.39-0.89Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Corinthians48%2.10
  • Draw27%3.64
  • Vitória25%4.02

Double chance

  • Corinthians or draw75%1.33
  • Corinthians or Vitória73%1.38
  • Draw or Vitória52%1.91

Goals

  • Over 2.540%2.51
  • Under 2.560%1.66

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.27
  • No56%1.79

Match preview

Corinthians have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Vitória at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Corinthians 1.39, Vitória 0.89. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 40%.

Corinthians have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

Vitória have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDW).

In their last 5 league meetings Corinthians won 3, Vitória won 0 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-19%

Corinthians form

LLLLL
  • Lat Palmeiras1-42026-10-11
  • Lat Internacional1-22026-10-07
  • Lvs Fluminense1-32026-09-20
  • Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-13
  • Lvs Chapecoense1-22026-09-06

Vitória form

WDLWL
  • Lat São Paulo1-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Chapecoense4-02026-10-07
  • Lvs Cruzeiro1-32026-09-20
  • Dat Mirassol2-22026-09-13
  • Wvs Grêmio1-02026-09-07

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Vitória 0-0 Corinthians
  • 2025-10-25Vitória 0-1 Corinthians
  • 2025-06-01Corinthians 0-0 Vitória
  • 2024-11-09Vitória 1-2 Corinthians
  • 2024-07-05Corinthians 3-2 Vitória

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.