Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 30 October 2026

Corinthians18th · 9 pts
Fri 30 Oct
Mirassol9th · 20 pts
CorinthiansDrawMirassol
Our predictionCorinthians to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.58Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.24-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Corinthians39%2.58
  • Draw30%3.35
  • Mirassol32%3.17

Double chance

  • Corinthians or draw68%1.46
  • Corinthians or Mirassol70%1.42
  • Draw or Mirassol61%1.63

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.54
  • Under 2.561%1.65

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.21
  • No55%1.83

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Corinthians 39%, draw 30%, Mirassol 32%.

Expected goals from the model: Corinthians 1.24, Mirassol 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

Corinthians have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLL).

Mirassol have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

In the table Corinthians are 18th with 9 points and Mirassol 9th with 20.

In their last 3 league meetings Corinthians won 1, Mirassol won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-18%

Corinthians form

LLLLD
  • Dvs Vitória1-12026-10-19
  • Lat Palmeiras1-42026-10-11
  • Lat Internacional1-22026-10-07
  • Lvs Fluminense1-32026-09-20
  • Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-13

Mirassol form

DWDLW
  • Wvs Internacional2-02026-10-16
  • Lat Bahia0-12026-10-11
  • Dat Red Bull Bragantino1-12026-10-07
  • Wvs Botafogo2-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Vitória2-22026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians
  • 2025-10-05Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol
  • 2025-05-10Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.