Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction
Corinthians18th · 9 ptsFri 30 Oct
Mirassol9th · 20 ptsCorinthiansDrawMirassol
Our predictionCorinthians to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.58Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.24-1.02Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Corinthians39%2.58
- Draw30%3.35
- Mirassol32%3.17
Double chance
- Corinthians or draw68%1.46
- Corinthians or Mirassol70%1.42
- Draw or Mirassol61%1.63
Goals
- Over 2.539%2.54
- Under 2.561%1.65
Both teams to score
- Yes45%2.21
- No55%1.83
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Corinthians 39%, draw 30%, Mirassol 32%.
Expected goals from the model: Corinthians 1.24, Mirassol 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.
Corinthians have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLL).
Mirassol have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
In the table Corinthians are 18th with 9 points and Mirassol 9th with 20.
In their last 3 league meetings Corinthians won 1, Mirassol won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 0-010%
- 2-18%
Corinthians form
LLLLD
- Dvs Vitória1-12026-10-19
- Lat Palmeiras1-42026-10-11
- Lat Internacional1-22026-10-07
- Lvs Fluminense1-32026-09-20
- Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-13
Mirassol form
DWDLW
- Wvs Internacional2-02026-10-16
- Lat Bahia0-12026-10-11
- Dat Red Bull Bragantino1-12026-10-07
- Wvs Botafogo2-02026-09-19
- Dvs Vitória2-22026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-05-03Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians
- 2025-10-05Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol
- 2025-05-10Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.