Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City prediction
Bolton Wanderers17th · 14 pts
Bristol City15th · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Bolton Wanderers48%2.10
- Draw25%4.04
- Bristol City28%3.62
Double chance
- Bolton Wanderers or draw72%1.38
- Bolton Wanderers or Bristol City75%1.33
- Draw or Bristol City52%1.91
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.82
- Under 2.545%2.22
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.74
- No42%2.36
Match in numbers
This season, Bolton Wanderers at home and Bristol City away
| Bolton Wanderers (home) | Bristol City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.17 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
- Bolton Wanderers: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 21st in the league.
- Bristol City: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 9th in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Bolton Wanderers (48%), though Bristol City win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Bolton Wanderers average 1.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Bristol City take 1.60 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.6 per game for Bolton Wanderers at home and 5.2 for Bristol City on the road.
The model expects 1.55 goals from Bolton Wanderers and 1.32 from Bristol City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 58%.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-09%
- 0-18%
- 1-28%
Bolton Wanderers form
- Lvs Middlesbrough1-52026-10-23
- Dat Southampton0-02026-10-17
- Wat Wolverhampton Wanderers3-12026-10-13
- Lvs Stoke City1-22026-10-10
- Wat Norwich City4-32026-09-20
Bristol City form
- Lvs Sheffield United0-12026-10-17
- Lvs Blackburn Rovers0-12026-10-13
- Dat Charlton Athletic1-12026-10-10
- Wvs Watford1-02026-09-18
- Lvs Lincoln City0-12026-09-15
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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BurnleyPrediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.