Barcelona vs Alavés prediction
Barcelona1st · 27 pts
Alavés7th · 12 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Barcelona84%1.20
- Draw11%9.42
- Alavés6%17.09
Double chance
- Barcelona or draw94%1.06
- Barcelona or Alavés89%1.12
- Draw or Alavés16%6.07
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.50
- Under 2.533%3.02
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.92
- No48%2.09
Match in numbers
This season, Barcelona at home and Alavés away
| Barcelona (home) | Alavés (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.2 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
- Barcelona have won their last 9 league matches.
- Alavés have gone 6 league matches without a win.
- Barcelona: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Alavés: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 8th in the league.
Match preview
Barcelona go in as strong favourites: 84% to win, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Alavés.
At home this season Barcelona average 3.00 points and 4.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Alavés take 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 9.0 per game for Barcelona at home and 5.0 for Alavés on the road.
Current runs: Barcelona have won their last 9 league matches; Alavés have gone 6 league matches without a win.
The model expects 2.62 goals from Barcelona and 0.83 from Alavés; 2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 52%.
In their last 5 league meetings Barcelona won 4 and Alavés won 1.
Most likely scores
- 2-011%
- 3-010%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 3-18%
Barcelona form
- Wat Real Betis5-22026-10-17
- Wvs Getafe3-02026-10-10
- Wat Sevilla3-12026-09-19
- Wvs Racing de Santander7-22026-09-16
- Wat Levante4-22026-09-13
Alavés form
- Dvs Málaga1-12026-10-23
- Lat Celta Vigo1-22026-10-18
- Lvs Atletico Madrid1-22026-10-10
- Dat Athletic Club0-02026-09-19
- Lvs Valencia0-12026-09-15
Head to head
- 2026-05-13Alavés 1-0 Barcelona
- 2025-11-29Barcelona 3-1 Alavés
- 2025-02-02Barcelona 1-0 Alavés
- 2024-10-06Alavés 0-3 Barcelona
- 2024-02-03Alavés 1-3 Barcelona
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Real BetisPrediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.