AZ vs Twente prediction
AZ2nd · 20 ptsSun 25 Oct
AZDrawTwente
Our predictionAZ to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.43Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.50-1.36Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- AZ41%2.43
- Draw27%3.76
- Twente32%3.11
Double chance
- AZ or draw68%1.47
- AZ or Twente73%1.36
- Draw or Twente59%1.70
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.83
- Under 2.545%2.20
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.74
- No42%2.36
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. AZ 41%, draw 27%, Twente 32%.
Expected goals from the model: AZ 1.50, Twente 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.
AZ have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLWDW).
Twente have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).
In the table AZ are 2nd with 20 points and Twente 5th with 17.
In their last 5 league meetings AZ won 3, Twente won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-09%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 1-28%
AZ form
WDWLD
- Dat Cambuur2-22026-10-18
- Lat Feyenoord0-22026-10-10
- Wvs Telstar1-02026-09-20
- Dvs Willem II1-12026-09-11
- Wat Heerenveen3-22026-09-06
Twente form
WWWDL
- Lvs Utrecht1-22026-10-18
- Dat Fortuna Sittard1-12026-10-10
- Wvs PSV3-22026-09-20
- Wvs ADO Den Haag2-02026-09-12
- Wvs Telstar1-02026-09-09
Head to head
- 2026-05-03AZ 2-2 Twente
- 2025-11-30Twente 1-0 AZ
- 2025-05-25AZ 3-2 Twente
- 2025-05-14Twente 2-3 AZ
- 2024-12-21AZ 1-0 Twente
More Eredivisie predictions
All matches ›Go Ahead EaglesMatch result
53%
1.87Fair odds
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UtrechtMatch result
65%
1.54Fair odds
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CambuurMatch result
44%
2.27Fair odds
Analysis
HeerenveenMatch result
56%
1.78Fair odds
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Fortuna SittardMatch result
44%
2.27Fair odds
Analysis
NECMatch result
46%
2.17Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.