AZ vs Twente prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 25 October 2026

AZ2nd · 20 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Twente5th · 17 pts
AZDrawTwente
Our predictionAZ to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.43Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.50-1.36Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • AZ41%2.43
  • Draw27%3.76
  • Twente32%3.11

Double chance

  • AZ or draw68%1.47
  • AZ or Twente73%1.36
  • Draw or Twente59%1.70

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.83
  • Under 2.545%2.20

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.74
  • No42%2.36

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. AZ 41%, draw 27%, Twente 32%.

Expected goals from the model: AZ 1.50, Twente 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

AZ have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLWDW).

Twente have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).

In the table AZ are 2nd with 20 points and Twente 5th with 17.

In their last 5 league meetings AZ won 3, Twente won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 1-28%

AZ form

WDWLD
  • Dat Cambuur2-22026-10-18
  • Lat Feyenoord0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Telstar1-02026-09-20
  • Dvs Willem II1-12026-09-11
  • Wat Heerenveen3-22026-09-06

Twente form

WWWDL
  • Lvs Utrecht1-22026-10-18
  • Dat Fortuna Sittard1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs PSV3-22026-09-20
  • Wvs ADO Den Haag2-02026-09-12
  • Wvs Telstar1-02026-09-09

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03AZ 2-2 Twente
  • 2025-11-30Twente 1-0 AZ
  • 2025-05-25AZ 3-2 Twente
  • 2025-05-14Twente 2-3 AZ
  • 2024-12-21AZ 1-0 Twente

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.