Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 29 October 2026

Atlético Mineiro3rd · 26 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Cruzeiro2nd · 27 pts
Atlético MineiroDrawCruzeiro
Our predictionAtlético Mineiro to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.27Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.53-1.20Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Atlético Mineiro44%2.27
  • Draw27%3.69
  • Cruzeiro29%3.47

Double chance

  • Atlético Mineiro or draw71%1.41
  • Atlético Mineiro or Cruzeiro73%1.37
  • Draw or Cruzeiro56%1.79

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.95
  • Under 2.549%2.05

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.84
  • No46%2.19

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Atlético Mineiro 44%, draw 27%, Cruzeiro 29%.

Expected goals from the model: Atlético Mineiro 1.53, Cruzeiro 1.20. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Atlético Mineiro have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWD).

Cruzeiro have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWL).

In the table Atlético Mineiro are 3rd with 26 points and Cruzeiro 2nd with 27.

In their last 5 league meetings Atlético Mineiro won 2, Cruzeiro won 0 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-08%

Atlético Mineiro form

DWDWW
  • Wvs Coritiba1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Santos2-12026-10-11
  • Dat Athletico Paranaense2-22026-10-08
  • Wvs Red Bull Bragantino1-02026-10-03
  • Dvs Chapecoense1-12026-09-19

Cruzeiro form

LWWLW
  • Wat Grêmio4-22026-10-18
  • Lat Red Bull Bragantino2-42026-10-13
  • Wvs São Paulo2-02026-10-08
  • Wat Vitória3-12026-09-20
  • Lat Santos1-22026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Cruzeiro 1-3 Atlético Mineiro
  • 2025-10-16Atlético Mineiro 1-1 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-05-19Cruzeiro 0-0 Atlético Mineiro
  • 2024-08-11Cruzeiro 0-0 Atlético Mineiro
  • 2024-04-21Atlético Mineiro 3-0 Cruzeiro

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.