Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction

Match preview

Athletic Club have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Real Sociedad at 26%.

At home this season Athletic Club average 1.25 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Real Sociedad take 1.80 points per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Athletic Club manage 5.2 per home game and Real Sociedad 5.4 per away game.

Form lines: Real Sociedad have won their last 3 league matches.

Athletic Club sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Athletic Club 1.75, Real Sociedad 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

In their last 5 league meetings Athletic Club won 2, Real Sociedad won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 2-110%
• 1-010%
• 2-08%
• 0-16%

Athletic Club form

• Lat Levante1-32026-10-21
• Dat Valencia0-02026-10-17
• Dvs Alavés0-02026-09-19
• Dvs Elche1-12026-09-12
• Wvs Atletico Madrid3-02026-09-05

Real Sociedad form

• Wat Málaga5-22026-10-18
• Wvs Deportivo de La Coruña3-22026-10-11
• Wat Valencia3-22026-09-20
• Lvs Atletico Madrid0-32026-09-13
• Wat Elche3-22026-09-07