Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 25 October 2026

Union Saint-Gilloise4th · 20 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Cercle Brugge17th · 3 pts
Union Saint-GilloiseDrawCercle Brugge
Our predictionUnion Saint-Gilloise to winStrong pick
83%Probability
1.20Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.47-0.81Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Union Saint-Gilloise83%1.20
  • Draw11%9.31
  • Cercle Brugge6%17.03

Double chance

  • Union Saint-Gilloise or draw94%1.06
  • Union Saint-Gilloise or Cercle Brugge89%1.12
  • Draw or Cercle Brugge17%6.02

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.57
  • Under 2.536%2.75

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.97
  • No49%2.03

Match preview

The model makes Union Saint-Gilloise clear favourites, with a 83% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 11% and a win for Cercle Brugge at 6%.

Expected goals from the model: Union Saint-Gilloise 2.47, Cercle Brugge 0.81. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

Union Saint-Gilloise have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).

Cercle Brugge have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).

In the table Union Saint-Gilloise are 4th with 20 points and Cercle Brugge 17th with 3.

In their last 5 league meetings Union Saint-Gilloise won 2, Cercle Brugge won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-011%
  • 3-09%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-18%

Union Saint-Gilloise form

WWWWD
  • Dvs OH Leuven1-12026-10-11
  • Wat Antwerp2-02026-09-20
  • Wvs Lommel5-02026-09-12
  • Wat Sporting Charleroi3-22026-09-05
  • Wat Sint-Truiden3-02026-09-02

Cercle Brugge form

LLDLL
  • Lvs Anderlecht1-22026-10-10
  • Lat Sporting Charleroi2-32026-09-19
  • Dat OH Leuven1-12026-09-12
  • Lvs Gent0-32026-09-06
  • Lvs Lommel0-12026-08-29

Head to head

  • 2025-12-26Cercle Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise
  • 2025-11-22Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-12-08Cercle Brugge 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise
  • 2024-10-27Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-05-19Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.