Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 24 October 2026

Antwerp13th · 7 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Sporting Charleroi3rd · 21 pts
AntwerpDrawSporting Charleroi
Our predictionSporting Charleroi to winOpen game
45%Probability
2.24Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.39-1.63Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Antwerp30%3.34
  • Draw25%3.95
  • Sporting Charleroi45%2.24

Double chance

  • Antwerp or draw55%1.81
  • Antwerp or Sporting Charleroi75%1.34
  • Draw or Sporting Charleroi70%1.43

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.72
  • Under 2.542%2.39

Both teams to score

  • Yes60%1.66
  • No40%2.51

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Antwerp 30%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi 45%.

Expected goals from the model: Antwerp 1.39, Sporting Charleroi 1.63. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.

Antwerp have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

Sporting Charleroi have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLW).

In the table Antwerp are 13th with 7 points and Sporting Charleroi 3rd with 21.

In their last 5 league meetings Antwerp won 0, Sporting Charleroi won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-07%

Antwerp form

LLLLL
  • Lat Westerlo1-52026-10-11
  • Lvs Union Saint-Gilloise0-22026-09-20
  • Lat Club Brugge1-32026-09-13
  • Lat Standard Liège0-12026-09-05
  • Lvs Sint-Truiden1-42026-08-30

Sporting Charleroi form

WLWWW
  • Wat Standard Liège1-02026-10-11
  • Wvs Cercle Brugge3-22026-09-19
  • Wat Zulte Waregem1-02026-09-13
  • Lvs Union Saint-Gilloise2-32026-09-05
  • Wat Kortrijk3-12026-08-29

Head to head

  • 2026-05-10Antwerp 0-1 Sporting Charleroi
  • 2026-04-10Sporting Charleroi 2-1 Antwerp
  • 2026-01-25Antwerp 0-2 Sporting Charleroi
  • 2025-08-17Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Antwerp
  • 2025-05-29Antwerp 1-2 Sporting Charleroi

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.