Racing Genk vs Standard Liège prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 25 October 2026

Racing Genk7th · 12 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Standard Liège9th · 11 pts
Racing GenkDrawStandard Liège
Our predictionRacing Genk to winLean
59%Probability
1.68Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.94-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Racing Genk59%1.68
  • Draw23%4.42
  • Standard Liège18%5.56

Double chance

  • Racing Genk or draw82%1.22
  • Racing Genk or Standard Liège77%1.29
  • Draw or Standard Liège41%2.46

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.76
  • Under 2.543%2.31

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.83
  • No45%2.20

Match preview

Racing Genk have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Standard Liège at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Racing Genk 1.94, Standard Liège 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Racing Genk have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDDW).

Standard Liège have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLWW).

In the table Racing Genk are 7th with 12 points and Standard Liège 9th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Racing Genk won 1, Standard Liège won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-010%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 3-16%

Racing Genk form

WDDLW
  • Wvs Kortrijk3-02026-10-10
  • Lat Club Brugge0-32026-09-20
  • Dvs Gent1-12026-09-13
  • Dat Anderlecht0-02026-09-06
  • Wvs Beveren4-02026-08-28

Standard Liège form

WWLLL
  • Lvs Sporting Charleroi0-12026-10-11
  • Lat Gent1-22026-09-18
  • Lat Westerlo2-42026-09-12
  • Wvs Antwerp1-02026-09-05
  • Wat OH Leuven2-12026-08-29

Head to head

  • 2026-05-16Standard Liège 0-0 Racing Genk
  • 2026-04-25Racing Genk 1-1 Standard Liège
  • 2026-02-22Racing Genk 0-3 Standard Liège
  • 2025-08-10Standard Liège 2-1 Racing Genk
  • 2025-02-14Standard Liège 1-2 Racing Genk

More Belgian Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.