Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle prediction

England · League One · 20 October 2026

Stevenage
3 - 0Full time
Plymouth Argyle
StevenageDrawPlymouth Argyle
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Plymouth Argyle to win (37%)
Our predictionPlymouth Argyle to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.68Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.15-1.20Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Stevenage35%2.87
  • Draw28%3.58
  • Plymouth Argyle37%2.68

Double chance

  • Stevenage or draw63%1.59
  • Stevenage or Plymouth Argyle72%1.39
  • Draw or Plymouth Argyle65%1.53

Goals

  • Over 2.542%2.40
  • Under 2.558%1.71

Both teams to score

  • Yes47%2.11
  • No53%1.90

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Stevenage 35%, draw 28%, Plymouth Argyle 37%.

Expected goals from the model: Stevenage 1.15, Plymouth Argyle 1.20. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.

Stevenage have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLWW).

Plymouth Argyle have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWWLW).

In their last 3 league meetings Stevenage won 0, Plymouth Argyle won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-09%
  • 1-28%

Stevenage form

WWLWL
  • Lat Bradford City0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Wigan Athletic1-02026-10-10
  • Lat Leyton Orient0-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Luton Town2-12026-09-10
  • Wat Barnsley5-12026-09-05

Plymouth Argyle form

WLWWL
  • Lvs Huddersfield Town0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs AFC Wimbledon2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Leyton Orient2-02026-10-03
  • Lvs Burton Albion0-12026-09-26
  • Wat Blackpool4-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-17Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Stevenage
  • 2026-01-01Stevenage 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
  • 2020-01-25Stevenage 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.