Reading vs Leyton Orient prediction

England · League One · 21 October 2026

Reading
1 - 0Full time
Leyton Orient
ReadingDrawLeyton Orient
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Reading to win (50%)
Our predictionReading to winLean
50%Probability
1.98Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.78-1.17Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Reading50%1.98
  • Draw24%4.22
  • Leyton Orient26%3.86

Double chance

  • Reading or draw74%1.35
  • Reading or Leyton Orient76%1.31
  • Draw or Leyton Orient50%2.02

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.76
  • Under 2.543%2.31

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.75
  • No43%2.34

Match preview

Reading have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Leyton Orient at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Reading 1.78, Leyton Orient 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Reading have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDDW).

Leyton Orient have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLWL).

In their last 5 league meetings Reading won 1, Leyton Orient won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-26%

Reading form

WDDWL
  • Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Milton Keynes Dons5-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Bradford City1-12026-10-03
  • Dat Wycombe Wanderers2-22026-09-26
  • Wvs Notts County2-02026-09-19

Leyton Orient form

LWLDW
  • Wvs Blackpool2-02026-10-17
  • Dat Bradford City0-02026-10-10
  • Lvs Plymouth Argyle0-22026-10-03
  • Wvs Stevenage1-02026-09-19
  • Lvs Wycombe Wanderers2-32026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-01-17Leyton Orient 3-1 Reading
  • 2025-09-20Reading 2-1 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-01-25Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
  • 2024-09-14Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
  • 2024-01-27Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.