Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic prediction

England · League One · 20 October 2026

Oxford United
2 - 1Full time
Wigan Athletic
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Oxford United to win (64%)
Our predictionOxford United to winStrong pick
64%Probability
1.57Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.89-0.70Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Oxford United64%1.57
  • Draw22%4.56
  • Wigan Athletic14%6.91

Double chance

  • Oxford United or draw86%1.17
  • Oxford United or Wigan Athletic78%1.28
  • Draw or Wigan Athletic36%2.74

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.08
  • Under 2.552%1.93

Both teams to score

  • Yes43%2.34
  • No57%1.75

Match preview

The model makes Oxford United clear favourites, with a 64% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 22% and a win for Wigan Athletic at 14%.

Expected goals from the model: Oxford United 1.89, Wigan Athletic 0.70. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Oxford United have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWDWW).

Wigan Athletic have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLDL).

In their last 5 league meetings Oxford United won 2, Wigan Athletic won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 2-013%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-08%

Oxford United form

WWDWD
  • Dat Mansfield Town1-12026-10-15
  • Wat Notts County2-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Cambridge United1-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Burton Albion3-02026-09-12
  • Wat Leicester City4-02026-09-05

Wigan Athletic form

LDLLW
  • Wvs Reading1-02026-10-17
  • Lat Stevenage0-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Wycombe Wanderers0-12026-09-19
  • Dat Sheffield Wednesday0-02026-09-12
  • Lvs Stockport County0-42026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2024-02-13Oxford United 4-2 Wigan Athletic
  • 2023-10-24Wigan Athletic 2-0 Oxford United
  • 2022-02-01Wigan Athletic 1-1 Oxford United
  • 2021-12-18Oxford United 2-3 Wigan Athletic
  • 2021-02-14Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

More League One predictions

All matches ›

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.