Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction

England · League One · 20 October 2026

Notts County
2 - 0Full time
Sheffield Wednesday
Notts CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Sheffield Wednesday to win (62%)
Our predictionSheffield Wednesday to winStrong pick
62%Probability
1.61Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.72-1.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Notts County15%6.51
  • Draw23%4.40
  • Sheffield Wednesday62%1.61

Double chance

  • Notts County or draw38%2.63
  • Notts County or Sheffield Wednesday77%1.29
  • Draw or Sheffield Wednesday85%1.18

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.14
  • Under 2.553%1.88

Both teams to score

  • Yes43%2.34
  • No57%1.75

Match preview

The model makes Sheffield Wednesday clear favourites, with a 62% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 23% and a win for Notts County at 15%.

Expected goals from the model: Notts County 0.72, Sheffield Wednesday 1.83. The single most likely score is 0-1 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Notts County have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLD).

Sheffield Wednesday have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDDDW).

Most likely scores

  • 0-115%
  • 0-213%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-38%

Notts County form

DLLLL
  • Lat Wycombe Wanderers0-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Oxford United1-22026-10-10
  • Lat Reading0-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Bradford City0-12026-09-12
  • Dat Huddersfield Town1-12026-09-05

Sheffield Wednesday form

WDDDW
  • Wvs AFC Wimbledon5-02026-10-17
  • Dat Huddersfield Town2-22026-10-10
  • Dvs Stockport County0-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Wigan Athletic0-02026-09-12
  • Wat Peterborough United2-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.