Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

England · League One · 27 October 2026

Luton Town13th · 14 pts
Tue 27 Oct
Doncaster Rovers19th · 9 pts
Luton TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
Our predictionLuton Town to winLean
56%Probability
1.78Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.67-1.06Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Luton Town56%1.78
  • Draw24%4.25
  • Doncaster Rovers20%4.90

Double chance

  • Luton Town or draw80%1.26
  • Luton Town or Doncaster Rovers76%1.31
  • Draw or Doncaster Rovers44%2.27

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.95
  • Under 2.549%2.05

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match preview

Luton Town have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Doncaster Rovers at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: Luton Town 1.67, Doncaster Rovers 1.06. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Luton Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLL).

Doncaster Rovers have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWWL).

In the table Luton Town are 13th with 14 points and Doncaster Rovers 19th with 9.

In their last 2 league meetings Luton Town won 1, Doncaster Rovers won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-17%

Luton Town form

LLWLW
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-20
  • Lat Milton Keynes Dons1-22026-10-17
  • Wat Wycombe Wanderers4-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Bradford City0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Stevenage1-22026-09-10

Doncaster Rovers form

LWWLL
  • Lvs Stockport County0-22026-10-20
  • Lat Leicester City1-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Burton Albion1-02026-10-10
  • Wat Peterborough United2-02026-09-19
  • Lat AFC Wimbledon0-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-03-10Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Luton Town
  • 2025-09-27Luton Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.