Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient prediction

England · League One · 24 October 2026

Burton Albion14th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Leyton Orient12th · 14 pts
Burton AlbionDrawLeyton Orient
Our predictionBurton Albion to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.35Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.13Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Burton Albion43%2.35
  • Draw28%3.55
  • Leyton Orient29%3.42

Double chance

  • Burton Albion or draw71%1.41
  • Burton Albion or Leyton Orient72%1.39
  • Draw or Leyton Orient57%1.74

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.23
  • Under 2.555%1.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.01
  • No50%1.99

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Burton Albion 43%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 29%.

Expected goals from the model: Burton Albion 1.34, Leyton Orient 1.13. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 45%.

Burton Albion have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DDLLW).

Leyton Orient have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLW).

In the table Burton Albion are 14th with 14 points and Leyton Orient 12th with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings Burton Albion won 2, Leyton Orient won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

Burton Albion form

WLLDD
  • Dvs Bradford City0-02026-10-20
  • Dat Peterborough United2-22026-10-17
  • Lat Doncaster Rovers0-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Huddersfield Town1-32026-10-03
  • Wat Plymouth Argyle1-02026-09-26

Leyton Orient form

WLDWL
  • Lat Reading0-12026-10-21
  • Wvs Blackpool2-02026-10-17
  • Dat Bradford City0-02026-10-10
  • Lvs Plymouth Argyle0-22026-10-03
  • Wvs Stevenage1-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Leyton Orient 2-2 Burton Albion
  • 2025-11-29Burton Albion 0-4 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-04-01Burton Albion 2-1 Leyton Orient
  • 2024-12-14Leyton Orient 0-0 Burton Albion
  • 2024-02-17Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.