AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction

England · League One · 20 October 2026

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 3Full time
Mansfield Town
AFC WimbledonDrawMansfield Town
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Mansfield Town to win (45%)
Our predictionMansfield Town to winLean
45%Probability
2.20Fair odds
0-1Likely score
1.02-1.42Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • AFC Wimbledon28%3.60
  • Draw27%3.73
  • Mansfield Town45%2.20

Double chance

  • AFC Wimbledon or draw55%1.83
  • AFC Wimbledon or Mansfield Town73%1.37
  • Draw or Mansfield Town72%1.38

Goals

  • Over 2.544%2.27
  • Under 2.556%1.79

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.08
  • No52%1.93

Match preview

Mansfield Town have the edge at 45%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for AFC Wimbledon at 28%.

Expected goals from the model: AFC Wimbledon 1.02, Mansfield Town 1.42. The single most likely score is 0-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.

AFC Wimbledon have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLDDW).

Mansfield Town have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWDDL).

In their last 5 league meetings AFC Wimbledon won 1, Mansfield Town won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-113%
  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-29%

AFC Wimbledon form

WDDLL
  • Lat Sheffield Wednesday0-52026-10-17
  • Lat Plymouth Argyle1-22026-10-10
  • Dat Cambridge United1-12026-09-26
  • Dvs Milton Keynes Dons0-02026-09-17
  • Wvs Doncaster Rovers1-02026-09-12

Mansfield Town form

LDDWD
  • Dvs Oxford United1-12026-10-15
  • Wvs Bromley2-12026-10-10
  • Dat Burton Albion2-22026-09-19
  • Dvs Huddersfield Town0-02026-09-12
  • Lat Bradford City0-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Mansfield Town 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2025-12-13AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Mansfield Town
  • 2024-01-27AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield Town
  • 2023-10-07Mansfield Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2023-03-04AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield Town

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.