Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction
Fenerbahçe3rd · 16 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Galatasaray50%2.01
- Draw23%4.36
- Fenerbahçe27%3.68
Double chance
- Galatasaray or draw73%1.37
- Galatasaray or Fenerbahçe77%1.30
- Draw or Fenerbahçe50%1.99
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.49
- Under 2.533%3.02
Both teams to score
- Yes66%1.51
- No34%2.95
Match preview
Galatasaray have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Fenerbahçe at 27%.
Expected goals from the model: Galatasaray 1.98, Fenerbahçe 1.47. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.
Galatasaray have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).
Fenerbahçe have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDL).
In the table Galatasaray are 1st with 19 points and Fenerbahçe 3rd with 16.
In their last 5 league meetings Galatasaray won 2, Fenerbahçe won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-19%
- 1-27%
- 2-27%
- 1-06%
Galatasaray form
- Wat Gençlerbirliği1-02026-10-17
- Wvs Kasımpaşa3-12026-10-09
- Lat Trabzonspor0-42026-09-19
- Wvs Kocaelispor1-02026-09-13
- Wat İstanbul Başakşehir3-22026-09-04
Fenerbahçe form
- Wvs Alanyaspor3-02026-10-17
- Wat Rizespor3-02026-10-10
- Wvs Eyüpspor8-02026-09-20
- Dat Gaziantep FK0-02026-09-14
- Lvs Beşiktaş1-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe
- 2025-12-01Fenerbahçe 1-1 Galatasaray
- 2025-02-24Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahçe
- 2024-09-21Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray
- 2024-05-19Galatasaray 0-1 Fenerbahçe
More Süper Lig predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.