Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 23 October 2026

Alanyaspor9th · 12 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Kocaelispor8th · 12 pts
AlanyasporDrawKocaelispor
Our predictionAlanyaspor to winOpen game
45%Probability
2.23Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.06-0.80Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Alanyaspor45%2.23
  • Draw30%3.31
  • Kocaelispor25%4.02

Double chance

  • Alanyaspor or draw75%1.33
  • Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor70%1.43
  • Draw or Kocaelispor55%1.82

Goals

  • Over 2.528%3.53
  • Under 2.572%1.39

Both teams to score

  • Yes36%2.82
  • No64%1.55

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Alanyaspor 45%, draw 30%, Kocaelispor 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Alanyaspor 1.06, Kocaelispor 0.80. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 28%.

Alanyaspor have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDW).

Kocaelispor have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLW).

In the table Alanyaspor are 9th with 12 points and Kocaelispor 8th with 12.

In their last 2 league meetings Alanyaspor won 1, Kocaelispor won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-015%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-113%
  • 2-09%

Alanyaspor form

WDWDL
  • Lat Fenerbahçe0-32026-10-17
  • Dvs Erzurumspor FK0-02026-10-10
  • Wat Çorum2-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Göztepe2-22026-09-12
  • Wat Rizespor1-02026-09-07

Kocaelispor form

WLWLL
  • Lvs Göztepe1-22026-10-18
  • Lat Beşiktaş1-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Gaziantep FK2-02026-09-19
  • Lat Galatasaray0-12026-09-13
  • Wvs Samsunspor1-02026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-03-18Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor
  • 2025-10-25Kocaelispor 2-0 Alanyaspor

More Süper Lig predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.