Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 26 October 2026

Beşiktaş5th · 15 pts
Mon 26 Oct
İstanbul Başakşehir10th · 11 pts
BeşiktaşDrawİstanbul Başakşehir
Our predictionBeşiktaş to winLean
56%Probability
1.78Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.02-1.13Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Beşiktaş56%1.78
  • Draw23%4.31
  • İstanbul Başakşehir21%4.83

Double chance

  • Beşiktaş or draw79%1.26
  • Beşiktaş or İstanbul Başakşehir77%1.30
  • Draw or İstanbul Başakşehir44%2.28

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.64
  • Under 2.539%2.57

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.71
  • No41%2.42

Match preview

Beşiktaş have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for İstanbul Başakşehir at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Beşiktaş 2.02, İstanbul Başakşehir 1.13. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

Beşiktaş have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLWW).

İstanbul Başakşehir have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLL).

In the table Beşiktaş are 5th with 15 points and İstanbul Başakşehir 10th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Beşiktaş won 2, İstanbul Başakşehir won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-17%

Beşiktaş form

WWLWL
  • Lat Trabzonspor0-22026-10-19
  • Wvs Kocaelispor2-12026-10-11
  • Lat Amed2-32026-09-20
  • Wvs Erzurumspor FK3-02026-09-11
  • Wat Fenerbahçe2-12026-09-05

İstanbul Başakşehir form

LLWDW
  • Wvs Gaziantep FK2-12026-10-18
  • Dat Konyaspor0-02026-10-11
  • Wvs Gençlerbirliği4-02026-09-19
  • Lat Amed0-52026-09-13
  • Lvs Galatasaray2-32026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-15İstanbul Başakşehir 2-3 Beşiktaş
  • 2025-09-13Beşiktaş 2-1 İstanbul Başakşehir
  • 2025-04-12Beşiktaş 0-2 İstanbul Başakşehir
  • 2024-11-10İstanbul Başakşehir 0-0 Beşiktaş
  • 2024-04-04İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Beşiktaş

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.