Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes prediction

Nigeria · Nigeria Premier Football League · 25 October 2026

Abia Warriors16th · 10 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Niger Tornadoes11th · 12 pts
Abia WarriorsDrawNiger Tornadoes
Our predictionAbia Warriors to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.13-0.51Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Abia Warriors53%1.90
  • Draw30%3.30
  • Niger Tornadoes17%5.83

Double chance

  • Abia Warriors or draw83%1.21
  • Abia Warriors or Niger Tornadoes70%1.43
  • Draw or Niger Tornadoes47%2.11

Goals

  • Over 2.523%4.43
  • Under 2.577%1.29

Both teams to score

  • Yes27%3.74
  • No73%1.37

Match preview

Abia Warriors have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 30% and a win for Niger Tornadoes at 17%.

Expected goals from the model: Abia Warriors 1.13, Niger Tornadoes 0.51. The single most likely score is 1-0 (22%), and the chance of three or more goals is 23%.

Abia Warriors have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DDLWL).

Niger Tornadoes have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLD).

In the table Abia Warriors are 16th with 10 points and Niger Tornadoes 11th with 12.

In their last 2 league meetings Abia Warriors won 2, Niger Tornadoes won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-022%
  • 0-019%
  • 2-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 0-110%

Abia Warriors form

LWLDD
  • Dat Kwara United1-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Rivers United0-02026-10-11
  • Lat Enugu Rangers1-32026-10-04
  • Wvs Bendel Insurance3-02026-09-27
  • Lat Barau0-22026-09-23

Niger Tornadoes form

DLWDW
  • Wvs Ikorodu City2-12026-10-18
  • Dat Ranchers Bees0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Kun Khalifat1-02026-10-04
  • Lat Nasarawa United0-12026-09-27
  • Dvs Warri Wolves0-02026-09-23

Head to head

  • 2026-03-23Abia Warriors 2-1 Niger Tornadoes
  • 2025-11-02Niger Tornadoes 1-2 Abia Warriors

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.